The prognosticators at research firm International Data Corporation (IDC) have looked into their crystal-ball and predicted that by 2015 Microsoft (MSFT) will take second place to Google’s (GOOG) Android in the smartphone market. TechEye points out in their indubitable way:
For that to happen, Apple followers will have to suddenly have a realisation that Jobs’ Mob’s walled garden of delights is not all it’s cracked up to be and would have to defect to the arch-enema of the Apple cargo cult – Steve Ballmer.
IDC claims that in 2015, Windows 7 will pass Apple (AAPL) iOS as the alternative operating system to Android. Android will have about half the market and what is left will be divided between Research In Motion’s (RIMM) Blackberry and Apple.
IDC Smartphone Market Share Predictions
| 2011 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|
| Android 39.5 % | Android 45.4 % | |
| Symbian 20.9 % | Windows 7 / Windows Mobile 20.9 % | |
| iPhone 15.7 % | iPhone 15.3 % | |
| Research In Motion Ltd. BlackBerry 14.9 % | Research In Motion Ltd. BlackBerry 13.7 % | |
| Windows 7 / Windows Mobile 5.5 % | Others 4.6 % | |
| Others 3.5% | Symbian 0.2 % |
The latest stats show how far Ballmer’s Boys have to go to meet IDG‘s projections. MSFT has 5.5 percent of the market, apparently IDG believes that all the Symbian market will blindly follow Nokia to MSFT because the firms made a billion dollar deal. Sometimes it is also about functionality, copy and paste, multitouch.
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Well good for IDG, TechEye says they failed to see the rise of the iPhone or Android in 2006. History says that a full-frontal assault on a firms core business is not effective. MSFT has to create a market to make iPhone and Android irrelevant. I think the MSFT for MSFT sake opportunity is long gone.
What do you think?
Is IDG dreaming?
Can Windows Phone 7 reach second place on the market by 2015?
Related articles
- Smartphone market to grow 50% this year: IDC (marketwatch.com)
- IDC: Android global market share at 40% in 2011… (tech.fortune.cnn.com)
- IDC fails to learn from previous mistakes, issues 2015 smartphone predictions (engadget.com)
