UK-based Juniper Research published a year-end list of predictions for the mobile and wireless industry for 2012. A copy of the report can be downloaded from Juniper Research, with registration here. Are they on-target of off-the-wall?
Recession Likely to Hit Smart Device Sales – Juniper Research says the continued recession will hurt smartphone and tablet sales. They believe tablet sales will be hurt more than “must-have” smartphones.
They say cash-strapped consumers may opt for the lower-priced tablets and could benefit players such as Amazon (AMZN) Kindle Fire or ARCHOS (JXR) ARNOVA branded devices rather than an Apple (AAPL) iPad. eReaders are most likely to be the hardest hit according to the report.
2012 – The Year of the Quad-Core Processor - ASUS (2357) was the first to release Quad-Core Processor on the Eee Pad Transformer Prime with the newly launched NVidia (NVDA) Tegra 3 chip in November 2011. Qualcomm (QCOM) has also added a quad-core chip to their Snapdragon line.The firm expects more to come.
Quad-core processors offer improved performance and increased battery life. The performance boost comes from being able to multi-task more efficiently making sure that music keeps playing smoothly while the user is playing games or taking pictures. The power savings come from being able to keep those cores at a relatively low clock speed.
Quad-core processors will allow developers to add more realistic effects, getting ever closer to the elusive console-quality experience. The Tegra 3 even allows for controller support and mirroring to a 3D TV. Javascript and Flash will also run faster allowing web developers to create more graphics and script heavy apps and pages.
Windows 8 OS to Fuel Nokia Revival & Disrupt Tablet Market Microsoft’s (MSFT) next OS will be compatible with both Intel and ARM architectures. Windows 8 will run on both PC and mobile devices. The research firm believes Windows 8 will create a huge ecosystem of devices from smartphones, to tablets, notebooks and desktops for app developers to target. Juniper Research expects Microsoft to gain market share in the tablet space, as it replaces the non-tablet-optimised Windows 7. And, with Nokia (NOK) transitioning its existing (smartphone) and new products (likely to include a tablet) to Microsoft’s platform, the Finnish giant will be fighting back after spending several years losing market share to Google (GOOG) Android and Apple iOS devices.
2012 to see High Profile Malware Attacks on Mobile Devices – While there have been many malware attacks targeted at mobile devices, these attacks have been relatively small-scale. Given the increasing prevalence of consumer smartphones and tablets, and the opportunity they present to cybercriminals, this state of affairs is unlikely to continue. Juniper Research anticipates that 2012 will see several high-profile, international attacks on various mobile OSs, so that consumers at large are made aware of the pressing need to protect their smart devices by installing security software.
Cloud Mobility to Drive Collaborative Communications – The BYOD trend driven by the consumerization of enterprise IT will increase according the research firm. Specifically Juniper Research believes that 2012 will see a substantial increase in the number of enterprises moving to develop and deploy mobile-centric, social business strategies.
Other predictions from Juniper Research include:
London 2012 to Boost Mobile Advertising and M-Gambling, and Kickstart NFC
Mobile Coupons to Drive mCommerce Market Despite Economic Stagnation
MEMs Accelerometers and Gyroscopes to Transform Sensor Market for Mobile Devices
Social Gaming to Become a Major Mobile Play with Introduction of Synchronous Gaming
Online, Mobile and Physical Will Begin to Fuse into One Retail Market
rb-
I’ll come back to these predictions at the end of the year and see which predictions were on target or off in space somewhere.
Related articles
- 2011 will end with 650 million mobile social media users rising to 1.3 billion by 2016 (intomobile.com)
- AT&T, Other ISIS Partners Eye Mobile Payments Overseas (businessweek.com)





- Updated 03-18-12 - Science writer 
#3 – It’s An Excuse To Lack Direction – The author says that checking email is a low priority activity and that you may be checking email first thing in the morning because your todo list has gotten off track somewhere. He argues that when you don’t have a clear list of priorities, checking email becomes an urgent activity that you do at the expense of your important ones.
#5 – Searching For Excuses Blindly checking email (or 
The first reaction to the trend of consumerization of IT has typically been to ban smartphones and tablets. Slowly, companies are opening up Bring Your Own Technology (

In addition, unless a company completely converts its employees to tablets for work, they will just be adding another attack surface to its IT systems, not subtracting a more complex system, Tim Matthews, a director of 
