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Georgia Tech Predicts Cyber Threats For 2012

Georgia Tech Predicts Cyber Threats For 2012The Georgia Tech Emerging Cyber Threats Report for 2012 predicts that 2012 will feature new and increasingly sophisticated means to capture and exploit user data. “Our adversaries, whether motivated by monetary gain, political/social ideology or otherwise are becoming increasingly sophisticated and better funded,” said Bo Rotoloni, director of the Georgia Tech Research Institute‘s (GTRI) Cyber Technology and Information Security Laboratory (CTISL).

Search PoisoningWe can no longer assume our data is safe sitting behind perimeter-protected networks. Attacks penetrate our systems through ubiquitous protocols, mobile devices, and social engineering, circumventing the network perimeter.

Threats according to Georgia Tech

Search Poisoning – Attackers will increasingly use SEO techniques to optimize malicious links among search results so that users are more likely to click on a URL because it ranks highly on Google (GOOG) or other search engines.

Mobile Web based AttacksMobile Web-based Attacks – Expect increased attacks aimed specifically against mobile Web browsers as the tension between usability and security, along with device constraints (including small screen size), make it difficult to solve mobile Web browser security flaws.

Stolen Cyber Data Use for Marketing – The market for stolen cyber data will continue to evolve as botnets capture private user information shared by social media platforms and sell it directly to legitimate business channels such as lead generation and marketing.

botnetsWe continue to witness cyber attacks of unprecedented sophistication and reach, demonstrating that malicious actors have the ability to compromise and control millions of computers that belong to governments, private enterprises, and ordinary citizens,” said Mustaque Ahamad, director of Georgia Tech Information Security Center (GTISC).

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

Georgia Tech Predicts Cyber Threats For 2012

Which Mobile OS is Most Hit by Malware?

Which Mobile OS is Most Hit by Malware? Help Net Security reminds us that most mobile phone users still don’t have a mobile AV solution installed on their devices making. This makes it hard to gauge just how many of them have been hit by mobile malware. To overcome this fact, Microsoft (MSFT) researchers observed that mobile phones often get synched with the users’ computers. Also, users often use their computers to search for mobile apps on third-party application markets and file-sharing sites. These habits allow mobile malware to occasionally end up on their desktop/laptop computers and gets detected by desktop anti-virus software.

MicrosoftResearchers at the Microsoft Malware Protection Center (MMPC) were able to use thes detection to get an idea of what malware attacks the various mobile operating systems. The MMPC found was that Symbian users’ devices are getting hit with a disproportionately bigger number of threats than those targeting other operating systems. In August 2011, Microsoft detected around 42,000 of them.

Malware attacks

Microsoft’s Marianne Mallen says that Symbian-specific malware seems to be evolving and Zeus-in-the-mobile (“ZItmo“) and SpyEye-in-the-mobile (“Spitmo“) are the most recently detected malware and arguably the most dangerous for the user.

JavaThe Sun Oracle (ORCL) Java ME platform takes second place in the MSFT research, with nearly 24,000 threats detected in August 2011, mostly apps sending text messages to premium-rate numbers.

The MMPC found that Google‘s (GOOG) Android malware numbers were rather low when compared to Symbian and Java ME platforms. There were around 2,800 hits in August, but have been steadily rising since February. Much of the Android malware uses privilege-escalation exploits to install itself or other components on the device without having to ask the user for permission.

At the end of the MSFT list are Apple (AAPL) iOS and Research In Motion (RIMM). No new threats for Apple’s mobile OS have been discovered this year, and the total number of threats detected in August was around 590. RIM brings up the rear with only 5 malicious apps detected during that month and can boast of only one completely new threat springing up for it this year:.

Apple ComputersMs. Mallen’s advice to mobile users is to scan applications downloaded when possible, even when it’s already on a mobile device. Ms. Mallen says that even apps from the official app stores, may have been repackaged with malware that can run stealthily without the user being made aware of the underlying payload,” she points out. “The payload can include data-theft, silent SMS-sending in the background, and downloading and installing of other malware components, among other things. This malware (or links to it) could also be spammed or sent through email, using social engineering to entice the user to download a copy of the malware onto the desktop.”

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UMMM no critique of mobile malware issues on WinPhones?

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

Gartner’s Top Tech Trends For 2012

GartGartner's Top Tech Trends For 2012ner VP David Cearley described their top ten strategic technology trends for 2012 to attendees of the Gartner Symposium IT/Expo. Gartner (IT) defines a strategic technology as one with the potential for significant impact on the enterprise in the next three years. Here are Gartner’s top strategic technologies for 2012.

Gartner logoMedia tablets and beyond: Bring-your-own-technology (BYOT) at work has become the norm, not the exception.  By 2015 tablet shipments will reach around 50% of laptop shipments and Windows 8 will likely be in third place behind Google‘s (GOOG) Android and Apple’s (AAPL) iOS. The net result is that Microsoft‘s (MSFT) share of the client platform, be it PC, tablet, or smartphone, will likely be reduced to 60% and it could fall below 50%, Mr. Cearley says.

Apple iPadThe implication for IT is that the era of PC dominance with Windows as the single platform will be replaced with a post-PC era where Windows is one of a variety of environments IT will need to support. Gartner says it expects iOS/Android will dominate the market with 80% of tablets shipped by 2015. IT leaders need a managed diversity program to address multiple form factors, as well as employees bringing their own smartphones and tablet devices into the workplace.

Mobile-Centric Applications and Interfaces. User interfaces with windows, icons, menus and pointers which have been in place for more than 20 years are changing. The UI will be replaced by mobile-centric interfaces emphasizing touch, gesture, search, voice, and video. Applications themselves are likely to shift to more focused and simple apps that can be assembled into more complex solutions. By 2015 half the applications that would be written as native apps in 2011 will instead be delivered as Web apps.

The Internet of Things (IoT)Internet of Things: The Internet of Things (IoT) describes pervasive computing where cameras, sensors, microphones, image recognition, everything, is now part of the environment. In addition, increasingly intelligent devices create issues such as privacy concerns. Gartner says. Drivers of the IoT are:

  • Near Field Communication (NFC) payments allows users to make payments by waving their mobile phone in front of a compatible reader.
  • Embedded sensors which detect and communicate changes are being built into an increasing number of places and objects.
  • Image Recognition technologies identify objects, people, buildings, places logos, etc. that has value to consumers and enterprises.

App Stores and MarketplacesApp Stores and Marketplaces: Application stores by Apple and Android provide marketplaces where hundreds of thousands of applications are available to mobile users. Gartner forecasts that by 2014, there will be more than 70 billion mobile application downloads from app stores every year with an enterprise focus. With enterprise app stores, the role of IT shifts from that of a centralized planner to a market manager providing governance and brokerage services to users and potentially an ecosystem to support entrepreneurs. Enterprises should use a managed diversity approach to focus on app store efforts and segment apps by risk and value.

Big DataBig Data: The size, complexity of formats, and speed of delivery exceed the capabilities of traditional data management technologies; Gartner says it requires the use of new technologies simply to manage the volume alone. One major implication of big data is that in the future users will not be able to put all useful information into a single data warehouse. Logical data warehouses bringing together information from multiple sources as needed will replace the single data warehouse model.

Cloud Computing: This topic is still an important trend. It will become the next-generation battleground for the likes of Google and Amazon (AMZN). Going forward, enterprise IT will be concerned with developing hybrid private/public cloud apps, improving security and governance, Mr. Cearley says. While the market remains in its early stages in 2011 and 2012, it will see the full range of large enterprise providers fully engaged in delivering a range of offerings to build cloud environments and deliver cloud services. Oracle (ORCL), IBM (IBM), and SAP (SAP) all have major initiatives to deliver a broader range of cloud services over the next two years. As Microsoft continues to expand its cloud offering, and these traditional enterprise players expand offerings, users will see competition heat up and enterprise-level cloud services increase.

Cloud ComputingEnterprises are moving from trying to understand the cloud to making decisions on selected workloads to implement on cloud services and where they need to build out private clouds. Hybrid cloud computing which brings together external public cloud services and internal private cloud services, as well as the capabilities to secure, manage and govern the entire cloud spectrum will be a major focus for 2012. From a security perspective, new certification programs will be ready for the initial trial, setting the stage for more secure cloud computing. On the private cloud front, IT will be challenged to bring operations and development groups closer together using “DevOps” concepts in order to approach the speed and efficiencies of public cloud service providers.

Other key predictions Gartner had included:

  • Contextual and Social User Experience: Context-aware computing uses information about an end-user to improve the quality of interaction and anticipates the user’s needs and proactively serves up the customized content. By 2015, 40% of the world’s smartphone users will opt in to context service providers that track their activities with Google, Microsoft, Nokia (NOK), and Apple continuously tracking daily activities Mr.Cearley says.
  • The growing use of flash memory for In-Memory Computing is a long-term technology trend that could have a disruptive impact comparable to that of cloud computing.
  • The adoption of Extreme Low-Energy Servers built on low-power processors typically used in mobile devices will increase for non-compute intensive workloads or delivery of static objects to a website. Gartner says that 10%-15% of enterprise workloads are good for this.
  • Next-Generation Analytics Gartner says over the next three years, analytics will mature from structured and simple data analyzed by individuals to the analysis of complex information of many types (text, video, etc.) from many systems.
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  • Expecting a recession, Gartner urges ‘creative destruction’ (networkworld.com)

 

Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

Cisco CEO Talks Cash at Tech Dinner

Cisco CEO Talks Cash at Tech DinnerSometimes my view from the Bach Seat is just so right….

The BusinessInsider reports that former Apple (AAPL) CEO Steve Jobs told his biographer Walter Isaacson what really went on when the tech titans supped with President Barack Obama earlier this year.

repatriation tax holiday that would allow major corporations to avoid tax payments on overseas profitsWhile the tech titans were slated to discuss America’s economy and what could be done to create more jobs in the U.S. according to Mr. Isaacson, Google‘s (GOOG) Eric Schmidt, then Yahoo (YHOO) chief Carol Bartz, and Oracle‘s (ORCL) Larry Ellison and Cisco (CSCO) CEO John Chambers annoyed Obama. The business leaders seemed more concerned with boosting their own company instead of America’s economy. Mr.Isaacson focuses on Cisco’s Chambers as an example:

Cisco's (CSCO) John Chambers annoyed President Obama“Chambers, for example, pushed a proposal for a repatriation tax holiday that would allow major corporations to avoid tax payments on overseas profits if they brought them back to the United States for investment during a certain period. The President was annoyed, and so was Facebooks’s Mark Zuckerberg, who turned to Valerie Jarrett, sitting to his right, and whispered, “We should be talking about what’s important to the country. Why is he just talking about what’s good for him?

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I noted Cisco’s John Chambers’ editorial in the WSJ calling for a tax holiday last year.

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

Cloud Computing Risks

Cloud Computing RisksCloud computing is a term even non-IT folks would have heard about at least once by now fueled by the concept of Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and virtualization. The idea is that IT services and processing capabilities could be more efficiently housed in a data center and delivered over the Internet based on demand.

Google logoDr. Dobb’s, editor-in-chief Andrew Binstock told FierceCIO that the primary advantage of relying on cloud providers is that their combined expertise on the security and reliability front is in all likelihood better than that of most SMBs and even some larger IT shops.

Bob Violino at Internet Evolution writes that cloud computing offers some clear benefits for organizations: lower costs, automated software updates, greater flexibility, and the ability for IT staff to focus on more strategic projects and not day-to-day maintenance tasks.

Apple logoIt’s easy to get caught up in the cloud excitement with major IT vendors such as Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Dell (DELL), Google (GOOG), HP (HPQ), IBM (IBM), and Microsoft (MSFT) pushing the concept and rolling out cloud offerings. But organizations looking into cloud computing need to consider some key risks as well.

Larry Ellison, the chief executive of Oracle, told shareholders in 2008 that Cloud technology is a fad that lacks a clear business model. “I think it’s ludicrous that cloud computing is taking over the world,Ellison said. “It’s the Webvan of computing.”

Microsoft logoRichard Stallman, the founder of the Free Software Foundation, sees cloud computing as a trap that will result in people being forced to buy into locked and proprietary systems that will only cost more over time. He told The Guardian: “It’s stupidity. It’s worse than stupidity: it’s a marketing hype campaign.”

Some of the cloud risks are well documented, but as the push for cloud services continues, a few risk points are starting to come into focus:

Data privacyData Privacy. When it comes to the U.S., the Fourth Amendment states that people should “be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures…” But web-hosted applications and cloud services are too new for the courts to have been able to offer far-reaching guidance on data privacy online. Data stored outside of the country makes data privacy issues even more complex.

Information security. A report from the World Privacy Forum discusses the issues related to cloud computing and the privacy and confidentiality of information. According to the report, “for some information and for some business users, sharing may be illegal, may be limited in some ways, or may affect the status or protections of the information shared.”

Even when no laws prevent a user from disclosing information to a cloud provider, the report says, disclosure may still not be free of consequences. “Information stored by a business or an individual with a third-party may have fewer or weaker privacy or other protections than information in the possession of the creator of the information.” A cloud provider’s terms of service, privacy policy, and location may significantly affect a user’s privacy and confidentiality interests, the report states.

Data Security. There are many threats to data online. The application or service provider could go belly up, hackers could attack or just be locked out of your account. The good news is that data portability and security policies are being scrutinized closely by several organizations.

intensely naïve

Mr. Binstock observed that no cloud storage provider will promise that they will not access your data under any circumstances. It is also common to find explicit clauses that allow law enforcement agencies access to your data.

Believing that this is acceptable because there is nothing incriminating in one’s data storage, is, in his words, “intensely naïve.” The obvious problem, notes Mr. Binstock, is that any government agency examining your data is under no contractual obligation to you to keep them safe, or even delete copies that were created.

Neophobia

Chenxi Wang at Forrester noted that an effective assessment strategy must cover data protection, compliance, privacy, identity management, and other related legal issues. “In an age when the consequences and potential costs of mistakes are rising fast for companies that handle confidential and private customer data, IT security professionals must develop better ways of evaluating the security and privacy practices of the cloud services.”

Network. The idea of putting the network health in the hands of the ISPs is very troubling. Have you ever tried to work with an ISP to find out why your round-trip latency times are so high? can your organization confidently define: The bandwidth requirements of your apps? The end-to-end throughput needs? Where will your data really be? Will it take the same path today and tomorrow? Who will pick up the phone when you call to say “the cloud is slow?” Will you be able to understand them?

Complexity. As cloud computing evolves, “combinations of cloud services will be too complex and untrustworthy for end consumers to handle their integration,” according to a report from Gartner Inc.. Daryl Plummer, chief Gartner fellow notes:

ComplexityUnfortunately, using [cloud] services created by others and ensuring that they’ll work — not only separately, but also together — are complicated tasks, rife with data integration issues, integrity problems and the need for relationship management

Finances. Cloud computing changes the way software is purchased. The model for purchasing software one time and then choose to opt to buy the newer version a few years later maybe on the way out.  With cloud computing, the vendor can just raise the prices the following month. It requires a different mindset, of subscription fees as opposed to purchase. We will see how the public takes it.

These are some of the issues that must be addressed if companies are to decide that cloud computing offers benefits that exceed the ROI of providing similar services in-house without increasing risk.

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Sure, “the cloud” will work for most people most of the time, but if there are a lot of users, there will be a lot of errors. With 100,000 users, 10% having problems over 10 years is 10,000 unhappy users.

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.