Tag Archive for ARIN

IPv4 IPocalypse Strikes U.S.

IPv4 IPocalypse Strikes U.S.The world is ending. the IPocalypse is upon us! As I (and a lot of other people) have been warning for a while now, North America has finally run out of new IPv4 addresses. The American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN), the group that distributes Internet addresses for North America, said Thursday it has assigned the last addresses in its IPv4 free pool.

IPv4 dates back to 1981 and only has room for 4.3 billion unique addresses. IPv6, introduced in 1999, should have enough addresses to serve Internet users for generations, according to ARIN.

No more ew IPv4 addresses
Anyone who still needs IPv4 addresses can request them from ARIN, but they won’t have any to give away unless it gets more from the global Internet Assigned Numbers Authority (IANA) or returned addresses from users who don’t need them anymore.

According to PCWorld, ARIN already runs a waiting list for requests, which they set up earlier this year.  Users can also buy IPv4 addresses on the IPv4 grey market (rb- I first reported on the IPv4 grey market in 2011) from others who don’t need them and are looking to make some money. Addresses recently were going for around US$10-$12 each, according to people who follow the transfer market.

PC World speculates that more North American addresses may go on the grey market now that ARIN has exhausted its pool of fresh ones. That event triggered a change in the organization’s rules for approving transfers: There is no longer any restriction on how often an address holder can request transfers to specified recipients.

North American is just the latest to run out of IP addresses according to the Register.

  • APNIC, which allocates addresses in Asia-Pacific, ran out of available IPv4 addresses in 2011;
  • RIPE, which oversees Europe, the Middle East, and parts of Central Asia, ran out in 2012; and
  • LACNIC, which manages Latin America and the Caribbean, ran dry in 2014.

All that’s left is AFRINIC, which oversees Africa, and is expected to run out of IPv4 addresses in 2019.

The IPv4 space globally offers 4,294,967,296 network addresses – which seemed like an awful lot back in the 1970s when the internet was coming together. Vint Cerf, father of the internet, (not Al Gore) told the Register,

When we designed the Internet 40 years ago, we did some calculations and estimated that 4.3 billion terminations ought to be enough for an experiment. Well, the experiment escaped the lab

IPv6 uses 128-bit addresses, and there are 3.4 × 1038 available – that’s 340 undecillion, although, practically speaking, 42 undecillion are usable.

Rb-
I told you so again and again and again. Maybe now that North America has run out of new IPv4 addresses, the IPv6 migration might get some attention and pick up speed. Maybe.

 

Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

Apple favors IPv6 as IPv4 Dries Up

Apple favors IPv6 as IPv4 Dries UpThe American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN) has reported that the IPv4 well is just about dry in North America. On 01 July 2015, ARIN had to refuse a request for a block of IPv4 addresses. The ARIN statement says that there are still a few IPv4 numbers available in smaller block sizes. But for all intents and purposes, there are no more unassigned public IPv4 addresses. As of July 18, 2015, the ARIN IPv4 Deletion page reports only 335 /24 IPv4 address ranges are available. It is time to start looking at IPv6.

Will have an impact on the large enterprisesThe good news, according to FierceEnterpriseCommunications, is the IPv4 drought isn’t yet affecting most of the internal networks of enterprises. But it’s just a matter of time before it starts to have a greater impact on the largest of enterprises. Microsoft (MSFT), for instance, found it was out of IPv4 addresses a few weeks ago. And for the first time in ARIN’s history, they denied a company that requested a large block of IPv4 addresses. Tom Coffeen, chief IPv6 evangelist at Infoblox, in a statement to FierceEnterpriseCommunications explained:

Though the IPv4 well has run dry and threatens service providers, the sky hasn’t yet landed on enterprise networks … Most enterprises still rely on private IPv4 for their internal networks. The small number of public, routable IPv4 addresses required to connect enterprise networks to the Internet is typically provided by the ISP, making IPv4 much more critical for Internet services providers.

IPv6One company that is reacting to IPv4 scarcity is Apple (AAPL). Apple’s latest operating systems – iOS 9 for iPhones and iPads and OS X El Capitan for Macs are designed to take advantage of IPv6. The new operating systems select the fastest connection with the lowest latency, whether IPv4 or IPv6, using the Happy Eyeballs algorithm, explained David Schinazi, the CoreOS networking engineer at Apple. Devices use the Happy Eyeballs algorithm to decide which protocol to use, as many applications use a “dual-stack” approach to networking, making available both IPv4 and IPv6 connections.

FierceMobileIT says this worked out to be a 50/50 split between IPv4 and iPv6 in iOS 8 and OS X Yosemite, but for the new OSes, IPv6 will be chosen by the algorithm around 99 percent of the time, according to Apple beta testing. Apple’s Schinazi wrote in a post on the Internet Engineering Task Force mailing list that Apple considers IPv6 mainstream.

IPv6 is now mainstream instead of being an exception, there are less broken IPv6 tunnels, IPv4 carrier-grade NATs [network address translations] are increasing in numbers, and throughput may even be better on average over IPv6

The author reports that testing performed by Apple shows that the new OSes should use IPv6 addresses around 99 percent of the time. Apple operating systems have supported IPv6 by default for Mac users as part of the OS X 10.2 Jaguar release in May 2002.

Mr, Schinazi cautioned that both OSes are in beta so things might change for the final versions. “If this behavior proves successful during the beta period, you should expect more IPv6 traffic from Apple products in the future,” he added.

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

IPv4 Final Countdown Begins

IPv4 Final Countdown BeginsThe number of U.S.  IPv4 addresses is critically low. This means that you may no longer be able to get new IPv4 addresses. Jason Verge at Data Center Knowledge cites reports from the American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN). The keeper of U.S. IPv4 addresses is down to the final /8 (around 16 million addresses) and has moved into the final phase of its IPv4 countdown plan.

American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN)DCK explains that in Phase Four, ARIN will process all IPv4 requests on a “first-in-first-out” basis. Every request will undergo team review. Requests for /15 or larger will require department director approval, which may mean a longer turn-around.

Strategies delayed theIPv6 IPocalypse

Those in the know, recognized IPv4 had issues in the early 1990s. However new strategies delayed the IPocalypse. Owen DeLong, ARIN advisory council member, and director at Hurricane Electric explained. “Network Address Translation (NAT) was developed and Classless Inter-Domain Routing (CIDR) and some other technologies that allowed us to conserve addresses.

IPocalypseWhile those changes slowed address consumption down, DKC reports they did not stop the need for IPV4 addresses. Mr. DeLong explains that every Regional Internet Registry (RIR) has developed an “austerity policy.” Europe is more than one year into its austerity plan (rb- which I noted here).  For Asia Pacific it has been more than two years. Latin America and Caribbean Network and Information Center (LACNIC) is close to triggering its plan.

IPv4 address brokers and auction houses

In response to the shortage (and profit), a new industry of IPv4 address brokers and auction houses has arisen. Many of the IPv4 addresses have been assigned, though not necessarily used. The IPv4 marketplaces list the number of IPv4 resources that are still available. The blog says a company called Hilco Streambank launched an auction marketplace that provides liquidity for IPv4 address sellers and connects them with buyers.

auctions that provides liquidity for IPv4 address sellers and buyers.Broker IPv4 Market Group believes potential legal issues in this highly regulated space make such auctions not feasible. The article says an auction winner may end up not getting the approval to get the addresses they have won. Which would leave both the buyer and seller in limbo. Some bidders are illegitimate; no contract terms are established other than pricing.

Hence, brokers are stepping in to lend end-to-end IPv4 address transaction expertise. They help with marketing, sales, the transfer process, and the financial aspects. IPv4 Market Group also provides legal and technical advice. (rb- I noted the rise of IP brokering here)

Prices of IPv4 addresses will skyrocket

Mr. Verge says auctions and brokerages are band-aids. The space will run out, potentially causing the prices of IPv4 addresses to skyrocket and making a fast-track transition to IPv6 ever more urgent.

ARIN could hand out its last free IPv4 addresses by the end of 2014Mr. DeLong is not a fan of either brokerages or auction houses. He told DCK, “I’m old-school in this regard … I feel that the whole idea of treating address resources as a resale commodity is distasteful at best. These are a community resources that [were] handed out without charge on the basis of actual need for the addresses. It’s pretty clear to anyone who was around in the early days that if you had addresses you no longer needed, you were expected to return them to the community for use elsewhere. I regard these monetized transfers as being more of a necessary evil to bridge a (hopefully) short-term gap and not a desirable state of affairs.

Hilco Streambank CEO Gabe Fried responded to DCK’s concerns. “Our policy is that a buyer cannot close a transaction for any reason, we move on with the next highest bidder and prohibit that bidder from further participation … We’ve successfully completed numerous transactions that were initiated on our auction platform to the satisfaction of both buyer and seller. Additionally, the auction platform is designed only to automate the bid/ask portion of the transaction, and not to provide all of the post-closing transaction support. We still do that by hand, as we do with our traditional brokerage services.

by the end of 2014The ISOC provides some perspective on the urgency of getting your network off of IPv4. They calculate that one /8 of IPv4 address space is equivalent to about 65,000 /24s and ARIN has delegated an average of 92,000 /24s per year for the past three years. When you factor in that some of ARIN’s last IPv4 space is reserved, a /16 for critical infrastructure and a /10 to aid IPv6 deployment, the math indicates that ARIN could hand out its last free IPv4 addresses by the end of 2014 … if not sooner.

 rb-

I have covered the IPocalypse since 2009 and it seems to finally become a reality. IPv6 has been a non-issue for many of the engineers I have spoken with, .edu is flush with IPv4 but the rest of the world is not. 

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

IPv4 Address Grey Market Emerges

IPv4 Address Grey Market Emerges

The UK’s Register reports that depletion of the world’s IPv4 address space is spawning a new development in the Internet address space, IPv4 address trading. According to the Register, German Python developer Martin von Loewis launched a site called Tradipv4.com in March. The site is offering IPv4 addresses for $3 for v4 addresses in American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN)  and $4 for those in the Asia Pacific Network Information Center (APNIC) region.

TradeIPv4IPv4 address trading, however, is still a grey market idea now. FireceTelecom reports that to make sure that unmanaged address transfers don’t compromise network operations or security, the Internet Society (ISOC) said that buyers and sellers should make sure any “transfers be affected per appropriate Regional Internet Registry (RIR) processes.” Citing its own estimate of prices reaching $11 per address, ISOC said, “We strongly urge that such transfers be affected per appropriate RIR processes.” Unmanaged address transfers will undermine network operations, and it could raise security issues since anonymous address spaces can be spoofed according to ISOC.

On their FAQ page, Tradeip4.com says its auctions can cover both the sale and lease of addresses, subject to RIR policies. Some of these policies, the site notes, have grey areas. For example, APNIC policy aims to discourage address transfer by applying what amounts to a 12-month embargo on the originating party receiving new addresses. However, Tradeip4.com dismisses this as irrelevant, since APNIC’s space is exhausted and no new blocks are being assigned according to FierceTelecom. Despite these concerns, Tradeip4.com, maintains that it can sell and lease IPv4 addresses and maintains that it follows RIR policies.

Internet SocietyThis is not just an SMB issue Microsoft (MSFT), recently bought Nortel’s IPv4 addresses (Which I wrote about here). Craig Labovitz, Chief Scientist for network security vendor Arbor Networks, told FierceTelecom that Nortel’s deal with Microsoft reflects how IPv4 depletion is becoming a more pressing issue, now that IPv4 is a scarce resource.

IPv4 addresses have not been a scarce resource and no one has had to pay more, but what really is starting to change is Microsoft spending money to buy Nortel’s IPv4 address space.  For the first time, there’s now a price associated with V4, and one you have a price you start having providers charge for it and start seeing people having a reason to care.

The Register article notes that the Canadian government, via its Industry Canada department, is also against the trade of IPv4 addresses, and it has weighed in on the sale of Nortel’s addresses to Microsoft. In a letter discussed on CircleID, Industry Canada expressed its support for the long-standing position that addresses are not property and therefore cannot be traded.

rb-

I see several problems with the  IPv4 grey market. Trading in IPv4 is just another sign of resistance to IPv6. Firms with a global view have to realize that the reallocation of a handful of IPv4 will not make a difference in an IPv6 world. Another issue could be the routability of an IPv4 address originally assigned to APIC and traded on the grey market to RIPE. Right now there is no guarantee that these types of addresses will be recognized. There are also political issues, the Canadian government opposes the IP grey market. Industry Canada has expressed its support for the long-standing position that addresses are not property and therefore cannot be traded.

The ISOC says IPv4 addresses are worth $11.00, MSFT paid $11.25 and ARIN addresses are now (04-30-11) trading $7.00 per IP. on tradeipv4.com so MSFT appears to have overpaid for the Nortel address range. The bigger issue is the change in the nature of an IP address.

What do you think?

Are grey market IPv4 addresses worth it?

Has your firm started its transition to IPv6?

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

Asia out of IPv4 addresses

Asia out of IPv4 addressesThe Asia Pacific Network Information Center (APNIC) has run out of free IPv4 addresses.  APNIC is the first of the Internet’s five regional Internet registries to deplete its free pool of IPv4 address space according to reports from Networks Asia. (I wrote about China’s IPv4 struggles here.)

APNIC’s news is another sign that CIOs and other IT executives need to begin migrating to IPv6.”For anybody who hasn’t figured out that it’s time to do IPv6, this is another wake-up call for them,”  Owen DeLong, an IPv6 evangelist at Hurricane Electric and a member of the board of ARIN told Networks Asia. Any CIO who isn’t planning for IPv6 is “driving toward a brick wall and closing your eyes and hoping that it’s going to disappear before you get there,” Mr. DeLong says ignoring IPv6 “is not the best strategy.”

Paul Wilson, Director General of APNIC tells Networks Asia that, if a business is thinking of doing on the Internet, they need to have a plan to transition to IPv6 in place. “If you want to do business with China in the future for example, you will be to be on IPv6 or you won’t be able to reach your customers,” Mr. Wilson said.

The Asia-Pacific region has been gobbling up the most IPv4 address space in recent years; APNIC has apparently distributed more than 32 million IPv4 addresses to network operators in this region in the last two months alone. APNIC has depleted its IPv4 address space “dramatically faster than people expected,” Mr. DeLong says. “My guess is that a lot of operators in the Asia-Pacific region realized the time of IPv4 depletion was drawing near and they rushed to get their applications in.” But countries in the region are doing well with their IPv6 transition plans Mr. Wilson said.

But counties with developing markets also had the advantage where they could leapfrog any potential problems and move straight to greenfield IPv6 infrastructure Wilson said. APNIC is holding 16.7 million IPv4 addresses (a /8 in network engineering terms) in reserve to distribute in tiny allotments of around 1,000 addresses each to new and emerging IPv6-based networks so they can continue to communicate with the largely IPv4-based Internet infrastructure.

RIPE [the European Internet registry] is going to be the next one to run out. I wouldn’t count on them making it until July[2011],” DeLong says. “I think ARIN (which doles out IPv4 and IPv6 address space to companies operating in North America,)  will make it to the end of this year; maybe we’ll run out in October or November[2011].

Upgrading to IPV6

Spock – the router is under here

According to Mr. Wilson, the move to IPv6 should be the last we will experience. “We should be afraid of a situation where we exhaust IPv6. If the move from Ipv4 was difficult, the next will be a disaster,” he said.

rb-

The regional Internet registries will have handed out most IPv4 address space by the end of 2011. Lots of organizations need to get on their transition plan. I have noted the need for IPv6 planning here, here, and here.

Related articles:

What do you think?

  • Is IPv6 a real topic in your organization?
  • Has your organization even formed a team to discuss IPv6 addresses?

Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.