Tag Archive for 2020

Labor Day 2020

Labor Day 2020It is Labor Day in the U.S. In the past, Labor Day was a celebration of working men and women. On Labor Day 2020, in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic and economic havoc, the percentage of people actually employed in the U.S. has recently hit an all-time low.

COVID-19 virrusIn August 2020 (the last full set of data) the BLS says the employment-population ratio stood at 56.5%. For comparison, the rate stood at 59.8% in December 2016, before Trumpie and his fellow travelers started their reign. That means that 45.4% of the civilian noninstitutional population – did NOT have a job. 

This number is an improvement from the historically low 51.6% we saw in April 2020 – there are still over 7 million people not working.

Statista Employment Population ratio
24/7 Wall St. reviewed unemployment at the metropolitan area level for USA Today to identify the cities with the worst unemployment problem. It is not a big surprise that Michigan has been hard hit. They ranked 4 Michigan metro areas in their list of areas most impacted by the COVID-19 layoffs.

Battle CreekFlintDetroit metroMuskegon
Impact33211211
Unemployment rate15.1%16.6%17.7%17.8%
YTD change-8.7%-8.2%-19.0%-8.0%
COVID cases69981311,83629
Poverty rate18%18.8%14.3%15.8%

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Middle class squeezed

Real unemployment at the height of the 2020 recession (so far) has reached levels not seen since the Great Depression. In April 2020, the real unemployment rate, including discouraged, marginally attached, and part-time, was 22.8%. The unemployment rate during the Great Depression surpassed 25% from March 1933 to June 1933. 

In case you’re wondering, the civilian noninstitutional population comprises of all persons aged 16 and older who reside in the 50 states and the District of Columbia, are not inmates of institutions (e.g., penal and mental facilities, homes for the aged), and who are not on active duty in the Armed Forces.
 

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

Dell to Spin off VMWare?

Layoffs are coming to DellUpdated 09/16/2020 – Layoffs are coming to Dell Technologies. Bloomberg reports that during it’s last quarterly all-staff meeting, Dell workers were told that company-wide workforce reductions were coming. A Dell spokesperson announced,  “… we’re addressing our cost structure to make sure we’re as competitive as we should be now and for future opportunities … we’re doing what’s best for the long-term health of our company and our team.

Dell has already taken a number of people cost-cutting measures. It has suspended 401(k) matching, bonuses, and promotions for the fiscal year. The firm had previously announced that 60% of its workforce will WFH or be in the office one or two days a week. Dell will provide a one-time stipend of $400 for home-office equipment.

However, over at VMware, which is 81% owned by Dell, there is a different pain. VMware has told its employees they can move away from Silicon Valley and work remotely on a permanent basis. However, VMware may cut their pay should they chose to move to a less expensive location. Employees who move could face salary cuts of 8% -18% Bloomberg reported.  A VMware spokesperson emailed SDXcentral,

…VMware is building a dynamic, global workforce of the future where our people have choice and flexibility to work from any location … VMware is dedicated to equitable pay for its workforce, not by only race and gender, but also work location or geography.

Dell to Spin off VMWare?

The rumor mill is grinding on Dell and VMware again. Back in June 2020, the WSJ reported that Round Rock, TX-based Dell Technologies (DELL) was exploring the idea of spinning off its $50 Billion – 81% ownership stake in VMware (VMW). But the dust settled on that speculation until recently

VMware logoDuring the 08/27/2020 Q2 earnings call, VMware CEO Pat Gelsinger said his company was in discussions with parent-owner Dell about a possible spin-off. According to a Seeking Alpha transcript, CEO Gelsinger said,

I want to acknowledge the recent Dell Technologies 13D filing about their considerations of a potential VMware spin-off … our Board has formed a special committee … and we are in discussions with Dell.

Potential spin-off

Dell logoCEO Gelsinger sought to assure current VMware customers. “We have over a year to go as any potential spin-off would not occur prior to September 2021.” The potential spin-off would be designed to “unlock the full value of Dell’s hardware business and VMware’s software business.” As of 09/01/2020, VMware’s market cap ($59.2B) overshadows Dell’s ($49.17B) market cap.

In June 2020 statement Dell said:

Dell Technologies believes a spin-off could benefit both Dell Technologies and VMware shareholders, team members, customers and partners by simplifying capital structures and creating additional long-term enterprise value. …  Any potential spin-off would …  be intended to qualify as tax-free for U.S. federal income tax purposes.

VMware Solid second-quarter results

COVID-19Fierce Telecom reports that VMware posted solid second-quarter results in the face of headwinds from the COVID-19 pandemic. On-premise revenues were down to the pandemic. However, VMware’s subscription and software-as-a-service (SaaS) revenue was up 44% from a year ago. SaaS revenue was $631 million and accounted for 22% of its total revenue in Q2.

VMware reported second-quarter earnings of $447 million, or $1.06 per share, on revenue of $2.88 billion. The results were an increase of 9% year over year from $2.63 billion. VMware CEO Gelsinger commented, “I do think, as we’ve indicated, that COVID has been a bit of a headwind for on-premise, growth … particularly in the Americas.”

Looking forward, Mr. Gelsinger foresees uncertainties into 2021 due to COVID-19.

We do think that the environment remains a pretty uncertain. … we expect Q3 to still be challenging with recovery in Q4 and Q1 and into next year … we still think that (there are) several quarters of recovery until we’re back to a more normal economic environment.

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The deal makes sense for the big-wigs. Big-wigs that will profit from the venture include Dell CEO Michael Dell and his venture capital backers. PE firm Silver Lake owns about 100 million shares of Dell, worth over $5 billion. CRN suggests that the deal could shift Dell’s $48 billion in long-term debt elsewhere, potentially to VMware.

What are the risks to VMware’s enterprise customers? CEO Dell claims he expects to formalize agreements between the step-children. The agreements would allow “ongoing strategic benefits and continued support for customers of both companies following any spin-off.” 

The firms have tightly integrated Dell hardware with VMware software. In the face of a COVID-19 recession well into 2021 enterprise customers are going to be pretty risk-averse. Customers are going to have to take whatever price increases VMware imposes to cover the new debt.

There are lots of people available with strong VMware skill-sets. Moving a firm’s infrastructure off VMware to a private or hybrid cloud environment as a managed service would require different IT operating models and skill sets that would probably cost a lot to set up and support. 

Stay safe out there!

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

No Love for 2FA

No Love for 2FAEveryone has gone to the ATM to grab some cash. Swipe your card – enter your PIN and out comes your cash. We have been doing this for years. Using the ATM is one of the most established uses of the IT security best practice of two-factor authentication (2FA). Lets break that down.

  1. You present your ATM card to the machine (something you have),
  2. Next, you enter a secret PIN (something you know).
  3. Without both of these things (authentication factors), you don’t get your cash.

Two-factor authentication (2FA) provides an extra layer of protection for system access, by asking a user for a second means of identification. 2FA also called multi-factor authentication (MFA), requires at least two authentication factors, including:

  • authentication factorsA knowledge factor (something only the user knows, such as an ATM PIN);
  • A possession factor (something only the user has, such as an ATM card);
  • An inheritance factor (something the user is a fingerprint or retina pattern).

The most popular forms of 2FA include answers to secret questions, a code sent to your phone, or one-time password-generating tokens.

Two-factor authentication2FA is a way to mitigate risks associated with unauthorized access, especially in the current COVID-19 era of increased work from home (WFA). And yet, despite these benefits. Computer Economics has posted a report, Two-Factor Authentication Adoption, and Best Practices, which studied the adoption and practice of 2FA. The report says that firms are not using 2FA to the extent they should be to ensure organizational security:

  • 18% do not use 2FA;
  • 25% are implementing 2FA for the first time;
  • 34% practice 2FA formally and consistently.

Why is 2FA needed? Because as followers of the Bach Seat know, username and password pairs as authentication factors suck. CE writes that passwords can be “phished,” stolen, discovered, and cracked in many ways. Humans are as bad at making good passwords and changing them regularly as they are at eating their daily requirement of vegetables.

In the presser Tom Dunlap, director of research for Computer Economics, said,2FA can go a long way to protecting a company

The big picture is that 2FA is inconvenient, and users just want access … Users often rebel against it because the extra layer is seen as onerous or unnecessary.  However … companies face a wide array of security and privacy threats and 2FA can go a long way to protecting a company

Inconvenience isn’t the only issue. As I have chronicled on the Bach Seat each form of two-factor authentication has its own weaknesses. For instance, security questions can often be easily guessed. tokens can be lost and SMS can be hacked.

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Another issue with 2FA is that it is unevenly implemented and there’s no central place to check if a firm has enabled it on its public-facing site. However, a website, Two Factor Auth (2FA) is trying to fill that void. Two Factor Auth (2FA) is a list of websites and whether or not they support 2FA.

Most of the well-known and commonly used sites and services are listed. The site explains what types of 2FA the firm supports. There’s even a Twitter or Facebook link where you can poke them on social media to start using 2FA – if they don’t support 2FA.

Only 1/3 of firms love two-factor authentication to use it well, despite the security benefits it provides to the firm and their customers.

Stay safe out there!

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

Elephants on the Internet

Elephants on the InternetThe global COVID-19 lockdown is now taking its toll on endangered wildlife like elephants and rhinos around the globe. Global lockdowns have caused a sharp drop in Africa’s wildlife tourism revenue. Wildlife tourism in Africa is a $169 billion industry. It employs 24.6 million people and is often the only employer in areas where wildlife thrives. The tourism business has helped curb poaching in several ways. First, tourists act as a deterrent to poachers. However, with fewer tourists, there are fewer tourist vehicles in parks. They are no longer a deterrent to poachers.

The amount of poaching is on the rise because COVID-19 has reduced funding for law enforcement in wildlife areasAfrica’s wildlife tourism revenue funds help to sustain wildlife reserves across the continent. At many of the reserves more than half of the budget comes from tourism revenues. Matt Brown, with The Nature Conservancy’s Africa program, told ABC News that tourist fees support rangers. Fees such as bed-night, and conservation fees help pay for the rangers‘ salaries. The fees also pay fuel for airplane patrols, and more – hampering security and opening the game reserves to poachers. 

Vulnerable to poaching

Without money to support the rangers — and the highly endangered animals they protect – elephants gorillas and rhinos — are left vulnerable to poachers. The amount of poaching is on the rise because COVID-19 has reduced funding for law enforcement in wildlife areas

highly organized illegal poaching threatens rhinos,

CNBC reports that highly organized illegal poaching threatens to send African wildlife into extinction over the next several decades. Most vulnerable to extinction are the black and white rhinos, lions, and elephants. The black rhino population has plummeted 97.6% since 1960. The lion population is down 43% in the last 21 years, according to the World Wildlife Fund. At least 35,000 African elephants are killed each year. There are only 1,000 mountain gorillas and 2,000 Grevy’s zebras that remain on the continent.

According to reports, six elephants were killed on one June day in Ethiopia’s Mago National Park. That compares to 10 in that nation for all of 2019. Officials suspect that most elephant tusks and finished products are shipped to China and south-east Asian countries. To make matters worst, in 2017 the Trump administration rolled back the ban on hunting elephants. The Trump policy allows elephant remains to be imported into the United States. Conservationists believe that elephants in the wild could be extinct within 10 years due primarily to poaching. 

Using IoT to protect elephants

 OpenCollar, an open-source modular animal-tracking collar system for wildlife monitoringExtinction does not have to be the “new normal.FierceElectronics reported on a collaboration using Internet of Things (IoT) technologies to protect elephants in the wild from extinction by developing a next-generation elephant tracking collar. The collaboration between Phoenix-based electronic components firm Avnet’s developer community Hackster.io, and conservation group Smart Parks which focuses on technology to protect endangered species, are running a design competition called ElephantEdge.

The ElephantEdge challenge asks developers to leverage the Internet of Things (IoT) technologies that can help humans protect elephants from extinction. ElephantEdge will combine software, machine learning (ML), and hardware to build the next generation elephant collars. The next generation collars will have better battery life, longer range, and accuracy that can be worn by elephants in the wild.

Elephant IoT collars

The elephant IoT collars will have sensors for audio pickup, location, and position as well as low-power, wide-area antennas that provide wireless connectivity. The new collar will use hardware and software from different vendors:

The ElephantEdge Challenge requires developers to build machine learning models with Avnet’s Edge Impulse Studio and tracking dashboards with Avnet’s IoTConnect– which will provide useful tracking, health vitals, motion, environmental anomalies, and more. ElephantEdge challenge looks to create machine learning  models like:

  • Poaching Risk Monitoring: Identify an increased risk for poaching by learning when an elephant is moving into a high-risk area and send real-time notifications to park rangers.
  • Human Conflict Monitoring: Prevent conflict between humans and elephants by sensing and alerting when an elephant is heading into an area where farmers live by detecting if any mobile phones or WiFi hotspots are near.
  • Elephant Musth Monitoring: Detect and alert when an elephant bull is in musth by using motion and acoustic sensors to discern this state of erratic, loud, and aggressive behavior.

vocal communications between elephants

  • Elephant Activity Monitoring: Collect data on the general behavior of the elephant, such as when it is drinking, eating, sleeping, etc. by using accelerometer data.
  • Communication Monitoring: Listen for vocal communications between elephants via the onboard microphone. 

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This is an example of when IoT tech can do good for the world – protect animals like elephants, gorillas, rhinos, lions, and polar bears which cannot protect themselves from extinction.

Nobody is going to get rich doing this work – challenge winners will receive an Apple Watch 3 and a collectible t-shirt as prizes – but the world will be a better place.

By the end of 2020, ten next-generation elephant collars will be produced for Smart Parks to deploy in selected African parks, in partnership with the World Wildlife Fund. Final software and hardware will be documented and shared freely under an open-source license. 

Stay safe out there!

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.

Can Cisco be XaaS-y ?

tech prognosticatorIt’s not news that these are unprecedented times. No one has seen anything like COVID-19 — or the global response to the virus – before. Many people worry about how this situation will evolve and how it will affect economies, careers, and personal bottom lines. The long-term economic fallout after the crisis passes is unknown. It’s possible it will be bad and last a couple of years. It may be shorter. There’s no way to tell. 

Can Cisco be XaaS-y ?The tightening of the purse strings has led tech prognosticator IDC to lower its 2020 guess forecast for the Ethernet switch and wireless LAN markets. The research firm expects the WLAN market to grow less than 1% from 2019, while the switch market will shrink 0.7%. The revised numbers represent a 3.7% point drop from IDC’s earlier 2020 forecast for Ethernet switches and a 4.8% point decline for WLAN revenue. In dollar terms, IDC says the switch market will reach $28.5 billion this year while WLAN revenue will be $6.2 billion.

To prove IDC’s point, Cisco (CSCO) just announced its ’20Q4 earnings report and it was not pretty. During the fourth fiscal quarter that ended June 30, the tech giant‘s product revenue fell 13% year over year to $8.83 billion. After the presser, CSCO slid by more than 11% – the worst day since February 2011.

Cisco logoAs an answer to declining revenue Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins announced layoffs a restructuring plan was underway:

Over the next few quarters, we will be taking out over $1 billion on an annualized basis to reduce our cost structure.

The San Jose, CA-based company Cisco, which employees 75,000 people, worldwide, did not say how many employees would be laid off restructured going forward. Cisco has been laying off employees over the past few quarters. CEO Robbins said on the earnings call, that the COVID-19 pandemic has forced the company to “re-examine” its entire portfolio and nothing is off the table. 

LayoffsIn theory, Cisco is using the restructuring to accelerate its R&D to focus on delivering everything it can as a service as it transitions to generating more of its revenues from software rather than hardware. In the last quarter, FierceTelecom reports that Cisco now generates half its revenue from software and services.

CRN reports that Cisco‘s infrastructure segment, which includes the core switching and routing businesses as well as wireless and data center products, continued its double-digit decline, falling 16% during the quarter to $6.62 billion. Overall, this segment dropped 10% for the full year.

Revenue was down across all customer and geographic segments. In terms of customer segments, Cisco saw revenue decline in all segments:

  • Public sector fell by 1%,
  • Service provider down 5%.
  • Enterprise declined 7%,
  • Commercial tumbled 23%,

Regional sales also fell:

  • EMEA fell by 6%,
  • APJC was down 7%, and
  • Americas, declined by 12%, 

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Besides COVID, other factors have stopped tech spending including technology shifts into 5G cellular networks, 400-gigabit Ethernet, WiFi 6. The fact is that Cisco wants to transition the majority of its portfolio to an as-a-service consumption model. Cloud expansion could support Cisco’s business. BUT–  Cisco has never been a major player in the cloud. Their go to cloud story proves it

Cloud computingIn 2014, Cisco’s first cloud strategy, InterCloud based in OpenStack was abandoned in 2016. Cisco’s next cloud strategy was to become the Switzerland of the cloud. This strategy was to work across multiple public and private cloud environments – to be a neutral player. It focused on: management, security, analytics,  and being Cisco – advanced networking. This Cisco Cloud phase has morphed again.

Cisco’s current approach to multi-cloud is network-centric and its centerpiece is an architecture called Application Centric Infrastructure (ACI) – which formerly only ran on Nexus devices. ACI focuses on policy, management, and operations for applications deployed across cloud environments. 

I’m sooo confused about the Cisco cloud story, are you?

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Ralph Bach has been in IT long enough to know better and has blogged from his Bach Seat about IT, careers, and anything else that catches his attention since 2005. You can follow him on LinkedInFacebook, and Twitter. Email the Bach Seat here.